Monograph - 2021


Monograph Information

Title
  Safety and Reliability of Systems and Processes
  Summer Safety and Reliability Seminar 2021

Editors
  Kołowrocki Krzysztof, Poland
  Bogalecka Magdalena, Poland
  Dąbrowska Ewa, Poland
  Torbicki Mateusz, Poland

Publisher
  Gdynia Maritime University, 2021

  ISBN 978-83-7421-354-7 (printed)
  e-ISBN 978-83-7421-355-4 (eBook)
  DOI: 10.26408/srsp-2021

Language
  English

Licence


Identification of climate-weather change processes at Baltic Sea water area impacted on critical infrastructure safety and their accident consequences

DĄBROWSKA Ewa 1 , TORBICKI Mateusz 2

1 Gdynia Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland, e.dabrowska(at)wn.umg.edu.pl
2 Gdynia Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland, m.torbicki(at)wn.umg.edu.pl

DOI: 10.26408/srsp-2021-06

ABSTRACT: There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the port oil piping transportation system and maritime ferry operating areas are presented.

KEYWORDS: climate-weather change process, identification, critical infrastructure, Baltic Sea water area

To cite this chapter:
Dąbrowska E., Torbicki M. 2021. Identification of climate-weather change processes at Baltic Sea water area impacted on critical infrastructure safety and their accident consequences. In K. Kołowrocki et al. (Eds.), Safety and Reliability of Systems and Processes, Summer Safety and Reliability Seminar 2021. Gdynia Maritime University, Gdynia, 77-116, doi:10.26408/srsp-2021-06.


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